Yes, you can count the cap increase you intend to buy once the UP Shop opens towards your prereqs for doing research.
No, you can't count the cap increase from the Winter One-Day, we're going to try to have the research ready for you AT the one-day.
If you really want to fill up those last few points of cap, you can ALWAYS send us a few dollars towards our budget. paypal.me/stephtyll - use the no-fees option and add a note that it's for FI general use. I'll give you point-per-dollar and put it towards props, newbie fund, feed-a-cast, or any of the many other things we spend our budget on.